The folks of Bihar have given their closing verdict. Outcomes of all byelections in different states have additionally come. One factor is crystal clear now. The BJP has scored magnificent wins in many of the states. I can sum up in a single sentence: the folks of India have as soon as once more reposed their confidence in Prime Minister Modi’s management.
After the ultimate official outcomes for Bihar had been declared by the Election Fee previous midnight, it’s NDA 125, Maha Gathbandhan 110, and the remaining eight seats to AIMIM and others.
Allow us to analyze. One, there’s not an iota of doubt that the boldness of widespread voters of Bihar in Modi’s management has elevated. Two, BJP has emerged because the second largest occasion in Bihar successful 74 seats (Tejashwi Yadav’s RJD has received 75 seats). In different phrases, from its earlier function as a ‘youthful brother’ in Bihar NDA, BJP has now emerged as ‘Huge Brother’ and may have a giant say within the working of Bihar authorities. Nitish Kumar’s JD(U) has shrunk badly. It barely managed to win 43 seats. That is its lowest determine in latest occasions and Nitish Kumar has suffered a giant political setback.
Three, there was voting on caste and communal traces this time, however points regarding improvement and the concern of return of ‘jungle raaj’ additionally mattered within the minds of voters, and BJP gained rather a lot due to this. Voters had been sad with Nitish Kumar, however that they had not forgotten and forgiven Lalu Yadav’s notorious ‘jungle raaj’, and his son Tejashwi didn’t guarantee voters that there can be no return of ‘jungle raaj’.
4, Chirag Paswan harmed each the RJD and JD(U), however the voters of Bihar made it fairly clear that they are not looking for any confusion. Chirag was claiming Modi as his chief however he walked out of the state alliance whereas opposing Nitish Kumar’s return as CM.
5, small timers like AIMIM chief Asaduddin Owaisi, Pappu Yadav and Upendra Kushwaha fought towards Modi’s BJP, however they ended up giving Modi the benefit.
Six, Rahul Gandhi wished to provide his Congress occasion a powerful footing in Bihar with Tejashwi Yadav’s assist, however his occasion fared poorly, and with a worse strike fee, ended up inflicting loss to Tejashwi’s Maha Gathbandhan. Congress in the end received solely 19 seats.
Seven, the Left events took full benefit of Tejashwi’s crowd pulling energy and received 16 seats. Their strike fee was good. CPI(ML-Liberation) received 12 seats, CPI and CPI(M) received two seats every.
And lastly, all of the exit polls and opinion polls proved flawed. They might not gauge the temper of voters, significantly ladies, appropriately.
Narendra Modi emerged as the largest recreation changer in Bihar elections. He is aware of the artwork of shifting the path of the wind that was blowing in Bihar’s political panorama. All the nation had its consideration mounted on Bihar, the place the primary meeting elections had been being held within the period of Covid pandemic. The voters of Bihar are politically conscious and lively. Most of them had been talking about ‘change’.
On October 27, when Modi entered the scene, and began addressing rallies, there was change within the political wind that was blowing. No one had anticipated BJP to emerge because the second largest occasion and the wind was blowing in favour of Maha Gathbandhan. After Modi addressed rallies, the scene modified through the second and third phases. He addressed rallies in 12 districts masking 101 seats. The NDA received 59 out of those 101 seats.
Whereas campaigning through the first part, Modi clearly gauged the temper of the folks, and within the second and third phases, he turned the tables on MGB. At a time when Tejashwi Yadav was promising a rosy image of 1 million authorities jobs, Rahul was hitting out at Modi over hundreds of migrant labourers strolling on foot throughout lockdown, Chirag Paswan was creating confusion, it was Modi who reminded folks in regards to the darkish days of Lalu’s ‘jungle raaj’ when kidnappings for ransom and assortment of ‘rangdari’ (extortion) had been rampant.
In his speeches, Modi repeatedly used phrases like ‘jungleraaj ka yuvraj’ (prince of jungle raaj) and ‘kidnapping ke king’. He went to the extent of claiming ‘do do yuvraaj’ (two princes) not directly referring to Tejashwi and Rahul campaigning collectively. The message was clear and it related with the widespread voter. Modi reminded voters of how his authorities despatched free foodgrains for poor households beneath Pradhan Mantri Garib Kalyan Yojana throughout Covid lockdown interval, and transferred Rs 500 every to the financial institution accounts of girls. The ladies voters remembered this and so they voted for Modi. Even Nitish Kumar’s occasion JD(U) took benefit of the temper of girls voters.
Credit score additionally goes to the brand new BJP president Jagat Prakash Nadda, who knew the bottom scenario in Bihar very properly. Born in Patna, he studied in a college in Patna and graduated from Patna College. Nadda dealt with the occasion machine properly, addressed 22 large conferences, took out street reveals, and labored with backroom employees to make sure his occasion’s win. In Mithila area, he spoke in Maithili, and in different areas, he spoke in native dialects to win over the voters. Amit Shah, Shahnawaz Hussain, Rajiv Pratap Rudy and Sushil Modi had examined Covid optimistic. It was left to Nadda to carry the fort.
Tejashwi Yadav slogged closely, addressing as many as 19 rallies a day with the assistance of a chopper. His father, Lalu Yadav, was in jail, and plenty of senior RJD leaders had left his occasion. Tejashwi needed to take his personal occasion leaders and alliance events alongside, and deal with seasoned leaders like Nitish Kumar and Sushil Modi.
I give full credit score to Tejashwi for the nice displaying that his occasion did within the elections, regardless of his lack of expertise. Tejashwi had set the political narrative from the start, by elevating the problem of jobs for the jobless. He had promised 1,000,000 authorities jobs, the day his authorities took over. Hundreds of thousands of youths in Bihar had been attracted in the direction of him, however it was Modi, the sport changer, who turned the tables, by describing him as ‘Jungle raaj ke yuvraaj’.
For Chirag Paswan, I’ve this to say. Ambition is critical in politics, however in an effort to obtain goals, one requires expertise, persistence and sagacity. Chirag is younger, he is filled with vitality, speaks properly and is aware of the best way to give a political struggle, however he overplayed his card. He ought to have exercised persistence. With Ramvilas Paswan passing away days earlier than the elections, he couldn’t profit from his father’s huge political expertise.
Chirag took a hasty resolution by strolling out of the Bihar NDA, hit out at Nitish Kumar, and the tip outcome: his occasion LJP might win solely a solitary seat. His motion towards Nitish jogs my memory of the Urdu couplet, “hum toh doobe hain sanam, tumhe bhi le doobengey”. His resolution prompted large losses to NDA companions. Had Chirag stayed in NDA, the alliance might have simply notched up greater than 150 seats. Had Chirag joined Tejashwi’s Maha Gathbandhan, the latter might have scored a transparent majority and develop into the CM. However Chirag opted for ‘love Modi, hate Nitish’ line, and ultimately, it was neither right here, not there. Ignoring Chirag, Modi clearly introduced at his rallies that Nitish would lead the NDA in Bihar.
About Congress, the much less stated the higher. In latest reveals of ‘Aaj Ki Baat’, I’ve proven clips of Rahul Gandhi’s speeches, which haven’t any join with the voters. Rahul doesn’t even know the actual points that matter essentially the most in Bihar. He is sort of a caught gramophone file: all the time denouncing Modi, whether or not it’s Bihar or Maharashtra or Madhya Pradesh. It’s his single theme in all his rallies. He fails to appreciate that the folks of India love Modi and his management. Senior Congress leaders had suggested Rahul to not goal Modi too typically because it might injury the occasion’s prospects.
It was left to Modi to remind voters in his rallies about one “yuvraaj” who joined fingers with one other “yuvraaj” (Akhilesh Yadav) in UP and introduced the latter’s downfall. “The identical yuvraaj is now going out with one other yuvraaj (Tejashwi) in Bihar and can result in his downfall too”, stated Modi.
Asaduddin Owaisi acted as a velocity breaker for Muslim voters diverting in the direction of RJD and Congress. Owaisi’s occasion AIMIM, which was earlier confined to Hyderabad, first unfold its wings in Maharashtra, successful two seats, and now, for the primary time, it has received 5 meeting seats in Bihar. Owaisi is quickly going to emerge as a critical challenger to these events whose politics pivot round Muslim votes.
With the BJP successful 19 out of 28 meeting byelections in Madhya Pradesh, Chief Minister Shivraj Singh Chouhan has consolidated his maintain. In UP, regardless of the Hathras incident highlighted by Rahul and Priyanka, the BJP received six out of seven seats. In Gujarat, it made a clear sweep of all eight seats. BJP’s win in Manipur and Telangana has stunned political pundits.
The widespread thread in all these wins in Modi’s rising recognition. The opposition events are nonetheless trying to find anyone who can attempt to cease Modi. West Bengal and Assam can be going to the polls subsequent 12 months and Modi has set his sights clear. The Bihar outcomes ought to sound an ominous warning for Mamata Banerjee.
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